PTA Multiple Difficulties, Weak And Difficult To Change
Main points:
1, upstream
Raw material
Price and PTA production profit: WTI crude oil spot price is 90.53 (-1) US dollars / barrel, CFR Japan naphtha price is 861 (-73) US dollars / ton, FOB Korea MX price is 1175 (+0) US dollar / ton.
FOB Korea PX price is 1425 (-0) yuan / ton, import PX is equivalent to PTA production cost is about 8559 yuan / ton, PTA production profit is about 491 yuan / ton.
2, PTA spot price: PTA spot average spot price 9050 (-170) yuan / ton, the external spot price is 1152 (-13.5) dollars / ton, the import cost price is 9295 yuan / ton, the price difference between the internal and import PTA is -244 yuan / ton.
3, price structure: PTA current price difference is -288 yuan / ton.
4, MEG price: domestic MEG 9380 (-50) yuan / ton, import MEG 1240 (-5) US dollar / ton
5, downstream polyester products prices and polyester gross margin: Great
Polyester cutting
11600 (-100) yuan / ton, semi gloss polyester chip 11800 (-50) yuan / ton, 1.4D direct spinning
Polyester and short
12950 (-50) yuan / ton, polyester DTY 150D is 16000 (-0) yuan / ton, polyester POY 150D is 14100 (-100) yuan / ton, polyester FDY 150D is 13700 (-200) yuan / ton.
Polyester gross profit is 2320 yuan / ton.
Summary:
PTA many factors are in trouble, the upstream cost support is weak, the downstream production and marketing situation is weakening, and the new supply capacity is expected to increase. The SMEs are facing the dilemma of the capital chain, and PTA is still weak.
Last weekend, PTA was added to the bad situation. Since July 1, 2011, China will sharply reduce import duties on petrol, diesel, aviation kerosene and fuel oil.
PTA's industrial chain is also affected.
It is advisable to keep the idea of high flying short.
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