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From The Economic Variables To Decide The Direction Of The Global Textile And Garment Industry In The Past 13 Years

2013/1/30 21:22:00 65

Textile And Garment IndustryGlobal Textile IndustryTextile IndustryEconomic Policy

"P >" when the world's < a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_cj.asp > > /a > > there are many complicated factors of uncertainty, the speculation caused by the change of leadership in China and the United States has been settled. In 2013, the change is positive. China, the United States and Europe are looking for the path for economic recovery, and will adjust their strategies according to other changes.

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Since the outbreak of the economic crisis, after three years of efforts, the strategic objective of the US economic rebalancing has become increasingly clear. It is not simply Reindustrialization but actively promoting the commercialization of the service industry, which will profoundly change the future world.

The direction of China's economic policy is equally important.

Based on the understanding of the future economic trend, the author would like to talk about some views on the future development opportunities of China's < a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_c.asp" > textile < /a >.

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< p > < strong > "the sudden emergence of the network economy in the US is a directional reminder" < /strong > /p >


< p > the development plan of the service industry closely linked to the first industry and the second industry on the basis of high and new technology in the United States can be regarded as an effort to build a new economic mode in the future world.

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In P, we can also see progress in this area.

In 2012, the network sale represented by Taobao once again created a miracle. The network economy is no longer a virtual world. The famous household appliance industry in China can enter the network sales vigorously, regardless of its strong sales outlets and huge stores, and has achieved impressive results.

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Compared with P, China's textile industry is still weak in the use of network economy, and there is basically no system in how to integrate and integrate with the information platform.

Many enterprises are involved in network marketing, enterprise ERP and so on, can be regarded as a micro level discussion of this future trend, once the formation of basic capabilities, its development may be explosive.

There are so many opportunities for innovation that we can observe, think and act on one side.

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< p > < strong > "soft landing of China's economy will provide a better environment for SMEs" < /strong > /p >


< p > China's small and medium-sized enterprises are in a worrying situation, such as rising costs, heavy taxes, exchange rate changes and market sluggish. These troubles are the sequelae of China's rapid economic development. Whether it can solve and solve the problem depends on whether China's economy is hard landing or soft landing in one or two years.

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In retrospect, China has caused hyperinflation in 1992 because of its investment expansion. After more than two years of rectification, it achieved a soft landing in 1995, and there was no more inflation in the following 1995~2002 years. P

But when China entered an excess economy, there were three obvious inflation in the 9 years after 2003~2011.

In a savings economy, there is no room for the pfer of upstream costs to < a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_s.asp > consumer" /a "without the combination of strong demand for total demand and loose monetary environment.

Therefore, the reasons for inflation in China after 2003 are whether the supply side or the demand side comes from the expansion of the government oriented economy.

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< p > at least, we can now estimate that the core of China's future economic policy will no longer increase the financial power of local governments, but on the contrary, the central government should restrain the expenditure of local governments.

I believe that this change will be seen gradually and clearly in 2013.

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< p > the basic characteristics and economic phenomena of China's soft landing will be manifested as the low labor force released will return to the manufacturing sector along with the reduction of the scale of infrastructure construction, and the tension of the vigorous labor force will be relieved and the wage increase will also become smooth.

And from the expansion of finance to convergence, the space of monetary policy structure adjustment will be opened. The credit rationing system and the current high bank deposit rate can be relaxed, and natural capital and demand will be gradually released.

In this way, many fundamental problems faced by small and medium-sized enterprises can be improved or eradicated.

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< p > < strong > "breakthrough in new technology will strengthen the competitiveness of Chinese enterprises" < /strong > /p >


< p > with the gradual saturation of the external market, textile enterprises will rely positively on technological progress in changing the growth mode instead of counting on the increase in market demand.

China has been increasing investment in scientific research. It is estimated that in the late 12th Five-Year plan, the competitiveness of Chinese textile enterprises will mainly rely on their own research results.

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< p > according to the author's understanding, Chinese researchers are brewing or have made significant breakthroughs in the industrial production of new natural fibers other than cotton, new spinning principles and new printing and dyeing principles.

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< p > it is foreseeable that the new high quality raw materials and new manufacturing principles and methods will enhance the quality and competitiveness of Chinese textile products and promote the upgrading of China's textile industry.

At that time, Chinese textile products can get rid of the inferior quality and cheap image. At least, the credibility of the leading enterprises in China's textile industry will be universally respected.

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< p > < strong > "the cooperation space between Chinese and foreign enterprises has become larger" < /strong > /p >


According to the present development mode of the United States, the service industry has changed from the domestic non exchangeable sector to the pnational new industry. This change has provided unprecedented opportunities and space for Chinese enterprises to cooperate with foreign enterprises. P

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< p > compared with foreign counterparts, the comprehensive level of China's textile enterprises is not small. This relative backwardness is precisely the chance for mature enterprises abroad to turn their advantages into commercial profits, not just commodity trade.

For the developed countries, the bankruptcy of Kodak reminds us that the brilliance of the mature mode may be fatal, and the temporary innovation is bound to be eliminated by continuous innovation.

The Chinese idiom "the latecomer" is a good description of some phenomena in economic activities.

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< p > for example, digital technology has fundamentally changed the ability and habits of mankind to acquire information and technology, and the cost of acquiring knowledge has been greatly reduced, which gives developing countries more opportunities.

Therefore, Chinese textile enterprises and foreign enterprises can cooperate in a wider range of fields, not just in terms of product trade.

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< p > for example, there will be great room for cooperation between Chinese enterprises and foreign customers in terms of brand, product design, technology pfer and joint development of sales market. However, how to pform trade partners into development strategic partners is important for Chinese enterprises' progress and strength.

Those who serve as the pacesetter of the textile industry can form their own intellectual property technology advantages through cooperation with China's top research institutions and universities, and become the capital to expand cooperation with foreign enterprises.

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