What Will Happen To The Trend Of A Share?

From the information disclosed in the two sessions, as well as the overall macroeconomic situation data, it shows that the whole economy is still facing a great downward pressure.

But from a policy point of view, from steady growth, supply side reform, and state enterprise reform, there may be measures to further fall after the end of the two sessions, which should still play a supporting role in the latter market. After all, the index is still in a relatively low position, and I tend to return to normal operation after the two sessions are over.

One of the two major investment lines in 2016 is to benefit from

Such cyclical stocks, which have risen from 1 to March, may now be showing signs of short-term adjustment.

There are also small and medium-sized growth, they have been under the pressure of relatively high valuation level, they and cyclical products are actually a "seesaw" effect, cyclical adjustment may be "small and medium" performance opportunities.

"When we begin to adjust, we will replace the cycle product immediately.

After the two sessions, it should be a strong trend.

There will be a lot of good news in the two sessions, which will be gradually implemented after the two sessions, including a series of favorable policies for the capital market, a clear registration system, and so on.

After that, liquidity should still be relatively abundant.

Therefore, after the two sessions, we should not be pessimistic. The probability of strong shocks is greater, and the probability of inversion is even greater.

The first step is to recover the 2850 point. The second step is to recover the 3000 "Horizon". The 2638 point may be the low point of 2016 as a whole. After that, it is particularly possible that the time and space for running at 3000 o'clock are much larger than the time and space for the operation below 3000 o'clock.

Investors should be concerned about the first is Hang Seng state-owned enterprises, the second is Shanghai Securities 50, the third is Shanghai and Shenzhen 300.

If the sub sector, banks ranked first, non bank finance second, real estate third, infrastructure fourth, then consumption, which underestimated the quality of leading stocks may have opportunities.

After the two sessions, the whole market will have a rapid development in the first half of this year, and a process of recovery will continue to fluctuate around the beginning of the year from the judgement of the whole year.

The exploration of the bottom is mainly based on the following: one is the process of policy effectiveness, and another is a process of falsification of policy. After the two sessions, it is generally the peak period of the policy intensive release of each industry. The reaction of policy to the capital market generally needs to undergo a period of one and a half months.

At present, the overall valuation of blue chips is still high. If the valuation does not appear to be amended, then the funds will obviously not be bought. The short-term downward pressure is still caused by a process of valuation regression.

We believe that in mid April or May, the market will likely fall again. After the beginning of July, the whole market will enter a process of capital security border, capital allocation and reflux, the market will be restored again, and July will return to the present point, that is, the area near 2900 or 3000.